{"id":2627,"date":"2025-12-17T12:35:21","date_gmt":"2025-12-17T12:35:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/?p=2627"},"modified":"2025-12-17T12:35:21","modified_gmt":"2025-12-17T12:35:21","slug":"the-threat-of-nato-expansion-would-provoke-a-russian-invasion%c2%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/?p=2627","title":{"rendered":"The threat of NATO expansion would provoke a Russian invasion\u00b9"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The EU has imposed sanctions on Colonel (ret.) Jacques Baud\u00b2 from Swiss intelligence for spreading &#8220;Russian propaganda&#8221; and the EU justifies this with the claim by Baud of Ukraine &#8220;orchestrating its own invasion in order to join NATO&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;In reality, Baud&#8217;s crime was to quote Zelensky&#8217;s former top advisor Oleksi Arestovych, who in this 2019 interview argued that the threat of NATO expansion would provoke a Russian invasion:&nbsp;<strong>&#8220;With a probability of 99.9%, our price for joining NATO is a big war with Russia&#8221;.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NATO would help Ukraine defeat Russia, and in victory, Ukraine could join NATO.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"478\" src=\"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1000030152-1024x478.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2629\" srcset=\"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1000030152-1024x478.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1000030152-300x140.jpg 300w, https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1000030152-768x358.jpg 768w, https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1000030152-1536x716.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1000030152-2048x955.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The EU does not have counter-arguments to Colonel Baud, only sanctions. Welcome to the new Europe\u2014where free speech comes to die.1.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/i\/status\/2000894456279576720\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/x.com\/i\/status\/2000894456279576720<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2. Jacques Baud is a former colonel of the General Staff, ex-member of the Swiss strategic intelligence,specialist on Eastern countries<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Within NATO, he followed the 2014 Ukrainian crisis and later participated in programs to assist Ukraine<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is his report&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-the-postil-magazine wp-block-embed-the-postil-magazine\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"XkeUKIu7UT\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thepostil.com\/the-military-situation-in-the-ukraine\/\">The Military Situation In The Ukraine<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;The Military Situation In The Ukraine&#8221; &#8212; The Postil Magazine\" src=\"https:\/\/thepostil.com\/the-military-situation-in-the-ukraine\/embed\/#?secret=VgpbVDpKDy#?secret=XkeUKIu7UT\" data-secret=\"XkeUKIu7UT\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The Military Situation In The Ukraine<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By Jacques Baud \/ April 1, 2022&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The EU has imposed sanctions on Colonel (ret.) Jacques Baud\u00b2 from Swiss intelligence for spreading &#8220;Russian propaganda&#8221; and the EU justifies this with the claim by Baud of Ukraine &#8220;orchestrating its own invasion in order to join NATO&#8221;. &nbsp;In reality, Baud&#8217;s crime was to quote Zelensky&#8217;s former top advisor Oleksi Arestovych, who in this 2019 interview argued that the threat of NATO expansion would provoke a Russian invasion:&nbsp;&#8220;With a probability of 99.9%, our price for joining NATO is a big war with Russia&#8221;.&nbsp; NATO would help Ukraine defeat Russia, and&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2628,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2627","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-studies"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2627","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2627"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2627\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2630,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2627\/revisions\/2630"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2628"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2627"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2627"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticsamongstates.gr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2627"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}