American empire’s retreat from the Levant and the Middle East in general¹

Core takeaways  a. American empire’s retreat from the Levant and the Middle East in general b. Bibi Netanyahu, is ready to use a nuclear weapon ________________________ “You’re witnessing right now [the] American empire’s retreat from the Levant and the Middle East in general.” Lawrence Wilkerson, retired U.S. Army colonel and former chief of staff to Secretary of State Colin Powell, says the U.S. is at risk of losing its war on Iran, where it’s already committed major war crimes. “This is a war with long legs,” adds Wilkerson. “Trump has…

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Nuclear experts undercut White House claims about Iran reactor at heart of case for war¹, Mar. 9, 2026, 5:00 AM EDT, By Vaughn Hillyard, David Rohde and Ian Sherwood²

¹This is a technical story with stunning strategic implications.  It is quite possible the US launched a massive war because Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff lacked the technical expertise to even understand what the Iranians were offering in negotiations.  Absolute idiocy³. ²The Trump administration has cited Iran’s Tehran Research Reactor as a central justification for its military strikes, but has provided no evidence that the facility — built by the United States and used for civilian research for nearly six decades — was being used to develop nuclear weapons. Multiple…

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Actuarial Warfare : How Seven Insurance Letters Closed the World’s Most Critical Chokepoint and Why Markets Are Mispricing Duration by 300%¹, By Shanaka Anslem Perera² | March 9, 2026³

Private Reinsurance, IRGC Fragmentation, Interceptor Depletion, and a Dead Nuclear Fatwa Have Produced a Crisis No Military Victory Can Resolve Core take away The war has no political exit because Ghalibaf closed it.  No commercial exit because the actuaries closed it five days earlier.  No military exit because the doctrine was designed to outlast every strategy conceived by the adversaries it was built to fight. The market priced a quick war. The doctrine priced a long one.  Ghalibaf just told you which. I. You Are Short a Mechanism You Have…

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Donald Trump’s calling on Erdogan to prove his loyalty¹

Donald Trump has gone too far and now he’s calling on Erdogan to prove his loyalty by jointly assassinating the Supreme Leader of Iran Mohammad Khatami Khamenei. “Let’s do this together — you and me. We’ll put an end to this ‘little Khamenei’ — the son, the little Khamenei. Not as great, very weak compared to his father, a total lightweight, a total loser. We’ll take him out — easily, very easily. Nobody does it better than us. Nobody!” “So, Erdogan — talk or action? Speeches or missiles? Decide quickly,…

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Sykes-Picot Agreement¹

Two men. One map. One afternoon. That is how the Middle East was promised to three different groups.  1915-16: Hussein-McMahon Correspondence → Britain promises Sharif Hussein an independent Arab state (including Palestine) if Arabs revolt against Ottomans.  1916: Sykes-Picot Agreement → A secret British-French deal carves up the region into spheres of influence, ditching Arab independence promises.  1917: Balfour Declaration → Britain expresses ‘sympathy with Jewish Zionist aspirations’ and pledges a ‘national home for the Jewish people (Zionism)’ in Palestine—backing the Zionist movement’s goals while sidelining the Arab majority. See?…

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States Rooting Against us, Mike Pompeo¹, 9 March 2026

Russia might be benefiting from higher oil prices – for a bit. But when the US topples the Islamic Republic’s capabilities, it will seriously damage Putin’s geopolitical project.  The only ones rooting against us are Putin, Xi, the Mullahs, & Tucker Carlson. We must get this right. ¹https://x.com/i/status/2031096490349760660

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Δηλώσεις Κυριάκου Μητσοτάκη-Νίκου Χριστοδουλίδη-Emmanuel Macron μετά τη συνάντησή τους στην Κύπρο¹, 9 Μαρτίου 2026

Δηλώσεις του Πρωθυπουργού Κυριάκου Μητσοτάκη, του Προέδρου της Κυπριακής Δημοκρατίας Νίκου Χριστοδουλίδη και του Προέδρου της Γαλλίας Emmanuel Macron μετά τη συνάντησή τους στην Κύπρο ¹https://www.youtube.com/live/Vz1O_EXCTvI?is=NMHR4UOatKR8EPB8

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The Escalation Trap¹, Prof. Robert Pape²

Core takeaways  Precision weapons have given modern militaries extraordinary destructive power, but power without strategy does not produce victory. It produces longer wars—the soft underbelly that has repeatedly undermined American power from Vietnam through the Forever Wars. The War Is Already Widening The Escalation Trap The danger now is not immediate defeat. It is strategic entrapment. Each escalation step appears logical in isolation.  More strikes promise greater pressure.  Broader coalitions promise greater legitimacy.  Expanded target lists promise greater leverage. Taken together, however, these steps change the structure of the war. …

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War on Iran, Week 1¹

War on Iran, Week 1: — energy/economic crisis  — regional instability — hotels with Americans attacked in UAE, Bahrain, Iraq — 20,000 flights ME cancelled, 1 million impacted  — 0il $91, up ~50% since 2/27 — ~1600 killed, most in Iran and including 7 other countries  —Regime escalating, not collapsing ¹https://x.com/i/status/2030282589647368564

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