Κατηγορία: Nuclear Deterrence

“When the US created the nuclear bomb, the Soviet Union entered the race and started to actively develop the nuclear program, our intelligence received a lot of information from the US. Who shared this information? The scientists themselves – who developed the atomic bomb.   Why did they do that?  Because they understood the dangers. They let genie out of bottle. And now genie cannot be put back. I think they were more intelligent than the politicians. They provided this information to the Soviet Union of their own volition, to restore…

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1. The war in Ukraine had already raised anxieties about the strength of the nuclear taboo, as has the potential escalation of the Israel-Hamas war.  The literal and symbolic absence of so many nuclear-armed states from the ceremony in Nagasaki only adds to that anxiety. 2. The Taboo against the use of nuclear weapon : That taboo emerged almost immediately after Hiroshima and Nagasaki were bombed 79 years ago, with the scale of destruction and cost in human life creating instant consensus among military strategists that nuclear weapons can only ever serve as…

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Paul Poast is an associate professor in the Department of Political Science at the University of Chicago and a nonresident fellow at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs. BLUF Overall, assessing the deterrence credibility of nuclear weapons, or deterrence in general, is extremely difficult. That is because we never observe deterrence. We only ever observe the failure of deterrence. French President Emmanuel Macron’s recent speech at the Sorbonne on his vision for the European Union, as well as his follow-up interview with The Economist, have attracted a lot of attention—as…

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