Cost constraints on the US–Russia strategic nuclear balance after New START¹, 5 Feb 2026

With the expiration of the 2010 New START on 5 February 2026, Russia and the United States are now free to build up their strategic nuclear arsenals. Whether either actor does, however, will be determined by the geopolitical landscape, national budget constraints and other priorities. The New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, New START, the last legally binding bilateral treaty limiting the United States’ and Russia’s strategic nuclear forces, expired on 5 February 2026. Under its central limits, each side was restricted to 1,550 deployed strategic warheads and 700 deployed delivery…

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Reimagining Mediterranean Security with Greek Minister for National Defense Nikos Dendias, 3 Feb 2026¹

At the recent trilateral summit in Jerusalem, leaders from Greece, Cyprus, and Israel advanced a shared vision of regional stability, prosperity, and cooperation. These nations, alongside the United States, are deepening coordination through mechanisms such as the Partnership for Transatlantic Energy Cooperation (P-TEC), the 3+1 framework, and the Achilles Shield program. As Greece emerges as a pivotal partner in U.S. energy strategy, these initiatives are cementing Athens’ role as the linchpin of Eastern Mediterranean security. To discuss Greece’s trilateral diplomacy with Israel and Turkey, the intersection of energy and security,…

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No Way to Win in Iran, Prof.John J. Mearsheimer¹, Feb 1, 2026²

Core takeaways John Mearsheimer: There’s NO DECISIVE WIN for TRUMP w/IRAN ¹ On 29 January 2026, I was on the “Deep Dive” with Lt. Col. (ret.) Danny Davis. We had an excellent discussion on what President Trump’s options are in a war against Iran.  We both agreed that he has no good military option at this point or for the foreseeable future, which is not to say Trump will not attack.  But all the evidence indicates that he would be foolish to do so.  Indeed, it is quite clear that the…

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Iran CLOSES Strait of Hormuz for LIVE-FIRE Drills as Russia, China INCREASE Support¹, Rachel Blevins Feb 01, 2026

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard naval forces are carrying out live-fire exercises in the Strait of Hormuz on February 1 and 2, temporarily closing the world’s most vital oil export route, as tensions with the U.S. continue to soar. This, as Iranian Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is warning: “Americans must know that if they trigger the war this time, this war will be a regional war.” ¹https://x.com/i/status/2018061102458765640 & & https://rachelblevins.substack.com/p/iran-strait-hormuz-military

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George Yeo¹ on superpower ‘headaches’ and why the US dollar could crack, 22 December 2025²

¹ George Yeo is a visiting scholar at the National University of Singapore’s Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy. He started his career in the military before entering politics in 1988. During his 23 years with the Singaporean government, Yeo held ministerial portfolios ranging from arts to health, trade and – for seven years – foreign affairs. Listen carefully³ to George Yeo, former foreign minister of Singapore. He displays a far deeper understanding of European history and its conflicts than most Western politicians ever have. It’s rare to see…

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Talking Great Power Politics in Moscow¹, John J. Mearsheimer, “Cross Talk” — with Alastair Crooke, 29 January 2026

Core takeaway  Prof. John J. Mearsheimer With the Trump presidency, we have seen the return of Great Power politics with a vengeance.  Global institutions and international law are being sidelined.  Ideological crusades are now absent. Does this make the world a better place?  I guess it depends where you are in the pecking order. Με την προεδρία του Τραμπ, είδαμε την επιστροφή της πολιτικής των Μεγάλων Δυνάμεων με εκδίκηση.  Οι παγκόσμιες θεσμικές δομές και το διεθνές δίκαιο παραγκωνίζονται. Οι ιδεολογικοί πόλεμοι έχουν πλέον εκλείψει. Αυτό κάνει τον κόσμο καλύτερο;  Πιστεύω…

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Shrinking the Multipolar World Further¹

Iran: US threatens Iran with wider war if it doesn’t agree to “nuclear deal” the US already used multiple times to prepare for and carry out unilateral strikes on Iran.  There is no US policy or plan for “peace” with Iran – only death and destruction with the ultimate goal of shrinking the multipolar world further.  This is a wake up call for those who insist the US is “retreating” to the Western Hemisphere rather than ramping up its global war on multipolarism.  Attacking Iran is part of a wider…

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“Trump Is Demolishing the Global Order. Here’s What Might Come Next. 17 experts on how the world moves on from America.”

POLITICO has published a thought-provoking piece:  “Trump Is Demolishing the Global Order. Here’s What Might Come Next. 17 experts on how the world moves on from America.” Here are the key takeaways and conclusions.  I’d love to hear your thoughts on this¹.  The United States has dismantled the postwar order. Even close allies started to see Washington in a new light after public threats to “take” Greenland. While a formal de-escalation followed, the signal was clear: the U.S. has entered a new competition over geographic spheres of influence, with military…

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Welcome to Cold War 2.0¹ – Iran Will Strike Back Hard²

1.Prof. John Mearsheimer : Welcome to Cold War 2.0 John J. Mearsheimer from John’s Substack Core take away On 29 January 2026, I was on “Judging Freedom” talking with the Judge about the ongoing peace negotiations over Ukraine, which I believe are nothing more than Kabuki theater. This war is going to be settled on the battlefield. We also talked about the likelihood of the US attacking Iran. While Trump is certainly making lots of threats and giving the impression it’s only a question of time before he turns the…

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