Συντάκτης: Ομάδα Σύνταξης

Thinking about the Long Haul: We’re Not in World War III Yet, Realist John Mearsheimer Explains¹ | Endgame², Gita Wirjawan

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¹On 5 March 2026, I did a long interview — two hours — with Gita Wirjawan, the former Indonesian Minister of Trade. It was my third long interview with Gita, and as was the case with the first two interviews, it was a pleasure going back and forth with him. We had a wide-ranging discussion about the various ongoing conflicts in the world and where we are headed in the years ahead. As one would expect, I painted a dark picture. ²Recorded on March 5, 2026. Gita Wirjawanª:  In his…

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BRAZEN Aggression!” Norman Finkelstein vs Jonathan Conricus On Israel-Lebanon Operation + Iran War, 19 March 2026¹

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Israel has launched a ground operation in Lebanon, opening a major second front in its war against Iran and its proxies – raising the stakes in an already volatile region. While the risks of escalation are enormous, some argue the potential strategic gains for Israel are just as significant: reduced threats from hostile neighbors, stronger ties with Gulf states, and an even more dominant position in the region militarily and politically. As the conflict intensifies, questions are mounting over the role of the United States. President Donald Trump, who campaigned…

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John Mearsheimer: Decapitating Iran Leadership is a Fool’s Game, 22 March 2026¹

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Bottom line:  The speaker argues the war is escalating, won’t be won through assassinations, and risks spiraling into a prolonged conflict with major global economic fallout The U.S. and its allies have lost leverage because Iran can threaten to close the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil and fertilizer shipments. Despite heavy strikes and assassinations of Iranian officials, the strategy is unlikely to work—Iran’s leadership can quickly replace losses, and its political system remains stable. The conflict is expected to be long, not decisive, as even hawkish…

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The first multipolar war¹, Arnaud Bertrand, Tuesday 24 March 2026²

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I don’t think people realize just how extraordinary what we’re witnessing with Iran is. I was arguing with a dear journalist friend of mine yesterday who was telling me that Iran was winning, yes, but only on the strategic level, not tactically.  The type of thing a skinny kid getting stuffed in lockers in highschool tells himself to make himself feel better: “These people will BEG to work for me in ten years. Everyone knows jocks peak in highschool. They’ll literally beg.”  I think that’s precisely wrong, and that’s what…

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The Israel Lobby Bears a Special Responsibility for Donald Trump’s Iran War¹

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Core takeaway  The bottom line: As this latest disaster unfolds, Americans and others will rightly want to hold those responsible to account. They should focus on the specific groups and individuals—from the president on down—who embraced Israel’s approach to the region and managed to convince themselves that yet another orgy of violence would be in the U.S. interest. Until the lobby’s influence is reduced and the United States establishes a more normal relationship with Israel, such episodes are likely to be repeated, making the United States look like a heartless…

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John Mearsheimer: U.S. Already Lost Iran War – No Off-Ramp in Sight, 10 March 2026

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Prof. John Mearsheimer explains why the war against Iran has already been lost, and why there is no off-ramp.  John J. Mearsheimer is the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago, where he has taught since 1982.   https://youtu.be/1e9NhLfPNKU?is=jWYobtrkq-AW3ntF

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How long will hostilities in Iran last? Former Secretary of State Antony Blinken says it will likely depend on “markets and munitions.”

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President Trump told CBS today the war with Iran could be over soon. As I told @davidgura at @business last week¹, two forces will ultimately shape how and when this ends: markets and munitions². Watch the oil, stock, and bond markets. And watch our supply of missiles (offensive and interceptors) and that of our regional partners. Expect a declaration of “victory” that trades one ayatollah for another. ¹In an interview for the Big Take podcast, Blinken and host David Gura discuss the Obama and Biden administrations’ efforts to avoid conflict…

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